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Indianapolis Journal predicts Indiana will vote for Gen. Scott and Graham in the November presidential election and elect state ticket in October, overcoming Democratic advantages seen in prior years like 1844 and 1848, due to independent Democrats and balanced new voter influx.
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This question is thus answered in the Indianapolis Journal:
In 1843 Gov. Whitcomb was elected over Gov. Bigger. Mr. Polk beat Mr. Clay over two thousand votes in 1844, and in 1846 Gov. Whitcomb was re-elected, and since then Gov. Wright. For these reasons, in all the calculations as to the result of the Presidential election, this State is put down as certain for Pierce and King.
Whatever may have been our own opinion on this subject a few months ago, we now believe that the electoral vote of this State will be given for Gen. Scott. This opinion has been deliberately formed on information derived from every portion of the State. Take the vote between Gen. Taylor and Gen. Cass, and the difference between them was not so great as not to be overcome. With all the prejudice created against Gen. Taylor on account of the Second Indiana Regiment, and because of the fact that he was a slaveholder, Gen. Cass only beat him by between four and five thousand votes. Mr. Van Buren received over eight thousand votes, two-thirds of whom were Whigs. Mr. Hale, should he remain a candidate, will not receive over three thousand votes. The remaining five thousand will go back to the parties with which they acted previous to 1848.
We know the leaders of the Democratic party count largely on the increase of the foreign vote, brought in under the new constitution. In this they will be greatly mistaken. It is not so large as they pretend, nor will it all go for them. The increased vote occasioned by the attainment of twenty-one years of age on the part of our young men, and by the emigration from other States, it is but fair to presume, will be about equally divided.
To enable us to cast the vote for Gen. Scott, he will receive the support of thousands of Independent Democrats, who cannot be transferred at the will of party leaders, and compelled to vote for a man of whom they never heard until his nomination for the Presidency. This assertion is not founded on our hopes alone, but from absolute facts from reliable sources-there scarcely being a county in the State where there are not more or less Democrats of this description. They will vote for General Scott because they know that he has served his country in the tented field, and as a civilian in the negotiations of peace, with great fidelity and ability, and because they know that in his hands the honor and interests of their country will be safe.
We believe, too, that we shall be able to elect our State ticket in October; but, whatever may be its fate, of this fact we feel assured, the vote in November will be in favor of Scott and Graham. Let our friends at home and abroad remember this prediction.
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Indiana
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Prediction that Indiana's electoral vote will go to Gen. Scott in the presidential election, based on analysis of past elections including 1843, 1844, 1846, and 1848 results, expected shifts in independent Democrats, foreign vote, and young men's votes; also prediction of electing state ticket in October.