Alexandria Gazette

Another Estimate.

As the result of the Niagara Gathering, the New York Tribune says:

"But the great numbers assembled were by no means the most significant feature of this gathering. Nearly half the speakers on the ground, with many hundreds of old soldiers and others who shrink from addressing public assemblages, were opponents of the Whig party in the last Presidential Election. Among these were John H. Bradley of Indiana, Gen. Wm. Larimer, Jr., of Pennsylvania, Daniel R. Tilden of Ohio, and Charles Quin of Michigan, who supported Van Buren in 1848. Others spoke who were for Cass in that struggle.

And all, whether Whig or otherwise, spoke with the utmost confidence of carrying their own States respectively for Gen. Scott. However Ohio might doubt New York or New York Ohio, or Indiana Michigan, or Michigan Indiana, each felt morally certain that their State would go right."

-What we saw and heard at Niagara changed our opinion with regard to Ohio. We had previously considered that a doubtful State; we now confidently expect its vote for Gen. Scott. It would certainly have voted for him in 1848; it was proved a Whig State in the vehement contest of 1844; we believe it is now a Whig State, and still more decidedly for Scott. We shall be disappointed if General Scott does not receive in Ohio 25,000 more votes than were ever yet given there for any man, and 5,000 more than can now be given to anybody else.

Michigan, Wisconsin, Indiana, and even Illinois look better than we supposed they did. We think Gen. Scott must have two of them, and may have all.

The following is our estimate of the present probabilities of the canvass:

| Probably for Scott | Doubtful | Probably for Pierce |
|--------------------|----------|---------------------|
| Massachusetts 13 | Maine 8 | New Hampshire 5 |
| Rhode Island 4 | Indiana 13 | Virginia 15 |
| Connecticut 6 | Illinois 11 | S. Carolina 8 |
| Vermont 5 | Michigan 6 | Georgia 10 |
| New York 35 | Wisconsin 5 | Missouri 9 |
| New Jersey 7 | Iowa 4 | Arkansas 4 |
| Pennsylvania 27 | | Tennessee 12 |
| Delaware 3 | | Alabama 9 |
| Maryland 8 | | Mississippi 6 |
| N. Carolina 9 | | Kentucky 12 |
| Ohio 3 | | Louisiana 6 |
| Total 166 | Total 70 | Total 153 |
| | | California Texas |